Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 19.050355 21.537036 24.168895 27.156078 30.446471 33.954212 37.970362
2024-12-22 15.036830 18.359636 22.099262 26.597827 31.839265 37.729624 44.825033
2024-12-29 12.908603 16.891812 21.626322 27.617254 34.939796 43.539899 54.340445
2025-01-05 10.830324 15.152175 20.563852 27.743559 36.913489 48.120615 62.726623
2025-01-12 8.742820 13.079264 18.796660 26.739168 37.318450 50.741110 68.846145
2025-01-19 7.067308 11.293283 17.151656 25.655684 37.438681 52.915431 74.456780
2025-01-26 6.386707 10.795571 17.171439 26.770262 40.505919 59.058569 85.535804
2025-02-02 6.136947 10.889551 18.015827 29.079774 45.343496 67.823142 100.568460
2025-02-09 5.656871 10.551441 18.166223 30.360430 48.771579 74.804077 113.491252
2025-02-16 5.002523 9.834178 17.645610 30.559815 50.596094 79.582543 123.530233
2025-02-23 4.301405 8.932728 16.723807 30.030120 51.249461 82.657634 131.230690
2025-03-02 3.730815 8.174779 15.943833 29.631251 52.031914 85.905973 139.266167
2025-03-09 3.342087 7.711768 15.636673 30.013684 54.119183 91.299895 150.867496
2025-03-16 2.912593 7.103201 15.004743 29.785418 55.196310 95.194781 160.390605
2025-03-23 2.749715 7.009675 15.293441 31.165710 58.989014 103.475446 176.949375
2025-03-30 2.471634 6.628636 14.999959 31.478334 60.995973 109.014624 189.480443
2025-04-06 2.085620 5.941912 14.034568 30.472478 60.661442 110.753086 196.087086
2025-04-13 1.743533 5.289675 13.053613 29.334081 59.991757 111.871865 201.703383
2025-04-20 1.659797 5.249649 13.330562 30.628979 63.731447 120.456066 219.695617
2025-04-27 1.689157 5.501025 14.249508 33.246455 70.003778 133.535314 245.470119
2025-05-04 1.620071 5.483818 14.579609 34.701907 74.199084 143.227885 265.956295
2025-05-11 1.467994 5.216167 14.323658 34.940383 76.125960 149.086236 280.241427
2025-05-18 1.279400 4.808434 13.699704 34.357766 76.449079 152.148664 289.903555